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Traditional deterrence assumes countries act like calm, rational players pursuing clear national interests. But in many authoritarian systems, that鈥檚 not how decisions are really made. Power often rests in the hands of one individual 鈥� and that individual may care less about abstract national goals and more about staying in power, protecting loyal elites, building personal wealth, or shaping their legacy in history. If we want deterrence to work in those contexts, is it possible to think less about 鈥渨hat does the other country needs?鈥� and more about 鈥渨hat does the leader want?鈥�

Colonel Nicolas (Nic) Gauthier joined the Canadian Armed Forces in 1999 and was commissioned as an infantry officer into The Royal Montreal Regiment. Following his graduation, he transferred to the regular component and has since served with all three battalions of the Royal 22e R茅giment. Colonel Gauthier has most recently served as Director of Expeditionary Operations at the Canadian Joint Operations Command headquarter, his previous practical policy experience include service as Canada鈥檚 Defence Attach茅 to Ukraine in Kyiv during Russia鈥檚 full-scale invasion, serving as a Senior Analyst within the Privy Council Office鈥檚 Foreign and Defence Policy Secretariat, and as Senior Staff Officer for Operations and Plans at NATO Headquarter in Brussels.